Back in March 2009, Wall St. hit bottom and the world markets entered
one year long rally. The fact is that the Shanghai stock market index
bottomed earlier in December 2008 (see plot below). Back then, China
started the biggest stimulus package and pushed its GDP growth over 10%
in the following year. Most countries worldwide benefited from China's
move.

History repeats itself often, we are
seeing significant momentum shift in Chinese stock market again after
almost 6 months of down drifting. The Shanghai index rose almost 9% from
the recent bottom 2319 and recently traded at 2528. This trend shift is
coupled with a new policy announced by Chinese government. The "125
plan" was announced 2 weeks ago, designed to develop its west provinces.
Analysts believe this will lift the GDP to the next level. New
policies will come out in August according to National Energy Committe with new RMB 5 trillion(e.g.
US$746B) investment in the new energy industry. The investment will
nurture new energy technologies and reduce carbon dioxide
emissionscarbon
dioxide emissions by 40% by 2020. This strategic investment will achieve
the goal faster than expected and China is aiming high in improving the
environment. Chinese companies in this sector are gaining momentum as
government contracts pile in. Rino International (RINO) is in a sweet
spot as its production simply couldn't catch up demand and it needs to
subcontract with third parties. SmartHeat (HEAT) has a
unique technology to provide heat exchange system with the highest
efficiency available in the market. The residential and
commercial heat exchange market in China is huge as the old systems need
to be upgraded in the next 2-3 years to comply with the new energy
conservation policy.
The solar group will also benefit from the
new policies. The market could easily exceed the sum of Europe and
America combined by 2015 with the strategic RMB 5 trillion investment.
US companies who has entered Chinese market include First Solar (FSLR) and Energy
Conversion Devices (ENER). First Solar signed mega contract with Chinese
government to build 1GW solar farm, and Energy Conversion Devices has
set up Manufacturing Facility In Tianjin with over 100MW capacity in
2010.
Wind turbine group will get boost as well. Companies such
as General Electric (GE) and
Siemens (SI) have a good relationship with local
governments and business has never be better in China.
Disclosure:
long FSLR JASO RINO GE SI by1.2 billion tons by 2020. Earlier
this year China pledged to reduce