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Auriga Upgrades Canadian Solar To Buy $CSIQ

Green Stocks Central

Auriga isout upgrading Canadian Solar (CSIQ) this morning to Buy from Hold, butlowered the price target from $25 to $21.  The firm believes that CSIQ’s pre-announcement in which it announced a Forex hit as well as lowermargins, has been priced in for the most part ahead of earnings (noofficial date announced yet).

Says the firm: “The gross margin decline was worse than expected, and when combined with the charge to Other Income for inadequately hedgingexposure to the Euro, we believe management has set a low enough bar for Q1 earnings. Our new price target is 13x our 2011 EPS of $1.58.”

Other highlights in Auriga’s call:

For the stock to outperform, management needs to up guidance on theconference call above 700MW which is the high end of previous guidance.

Auriga lowers gross margins assumptions to 13.6% for 2010 and 14.1%for next year

Reduces Q1 estimate to a loss of .08/share due to $20 millionforex hit, lower margins

No change in shipment forecast of 190MW for Q1 or 675MW for fullyear.

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Shares of CSIQ are well off the morning lows of $16/share, but Istill feel like it needs to test the $15 level before a meaningfulrecovery can take place. 

Auriga Upgrades Canadian Solar (CSIQ) To Buy, "Negative Catalyst Has Passed"

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